One of the challenges of talent spotting in business is knowing whether a seemingly talented individual will thrive if promoted to a new task or area. Once earmarked and moved into a talent pool, these individuals must also be managed properly, in terms of their own expectations and those of the employer.
One of the main challenges in spotting talent is being able to evaluate future performance in a new role, when we only have exposure to current and past performance against a different role. It is even more of a challenge to get accurate insight into a candidate who resides outside of the business.
It is not valid to consider current performance in a current role as an accurate predictor of future performance in a new role.